Ah, well; you're going to have to wait until somewhere near the end of this post for my conclusions on this week's action...
I actually rarely post following cup matches, and I've held off this week. So I'll now delve into all three of the Newcastle, United and Tottenham games - more generally with the first two, as there were similarities, but prior to that the win over The Auld Enemy. Let's crack on, then, shall we? And we'll start with the game that is freshest in the memory.
Before I start... if any of you were wondering about the yellow balloons that appeared around the ground after 7 minutes, this was a demonstration to highlight the plight of Emily Damari, a Spurs fan who has been held hostage in Gaza since October 7th 2023. Jewish groups from both clubs got together to do this, and I commend the collaboration as well as the sentiment.
A narrow and nerve-wracking victory over an injury-affected Tottenham was well enough deserved, with similar domination of the ball to the two previous two games- especially in the first half - and yet despite Tottenham approaching this game (like they do every game) differently to most opposition (caveat, Big Ange plumped for an extra central midfielder in a surprising show of pragmatism) - the usual concerns gripped Arsenal fans throughout. For the home team, Raheem Sterling looked to have done enough at the weekend to get a start on the right hand side (as it turns out he didn't really justify his selection), whilst MLS kept his place in the XI and Thomas Partey retuned to anchor the midfield. Gabriel Martinelli only made the bench.
Roared on by the crowd, to whom this particular game obviously means so much, Arsenal bombarded their opponents early on, and made sufficient chances to probably be two or three goals up when Son scored with Spurs' first or maybe second shot. Yet again; and additionally via a deflection that took the ball right into the very corner of the net. I, for one, immediately thought 'Here we go again!' But this particular opposition are not resilient, so based on the balance of play there was plenty of cause for hope.
The equaliser came from a corner that ought to have been a goal kick.
Delicious... and when Rice's delivery reached the far post who was there to make contact? If you didn't know - although you do, of course - you would have guessed Big Gabi. And you'd be correct. Despite failing to get his header on target, he did succeed in heading it into the body of Solanke, who kindly defected the ball in at the near post. Cue anger from all connected with The Dark Side, and delirium from everyone else. Cheer Up Postecoglou...
The go-ahead goal was a triumph for the pressing game. Partey robbed a lethargic Bissouma and found Odegaard, who immediately threaded a pass into the path of the onrushing Trossard in the inside left channel. An early shot - with his 'wrong' foot, from the edge of the penalty area was enough to beat their brand new goalkeeper, Kinsky. Who should have saved it comfortably, but allowed it to bounce over his outstretched glove. Spursy all round, and 2-1. The poor chap had already been tested with the ball at his feet; Havertz rushing in to block one intended clearance - and he was barracked for the rest of the game. Serves him right for signing for them!
But despite equalising and then taking the lead in that 4-minute spell, Arsenal failed to put the match to bed, and we therefore couldn't relax until the final whistle. We could and should have been out of sight long before the end.
Second half, and Big Ange reverted to type, withdrawing both the disappointing Bissouma and Pape Saar in favour of Johnson and that famous dart player, James Maddison; thus leaving Bergvall to take on the entirety of Arsenal's midfield. To be fair, the youngster did a fine job; kudos to him. And Spurs went back to what they know; springing on the opposition at pace whenever they could. But not creating much at all.
There were some stand-out performances in red. Partey back doing what he does best. Declan Rice had a typical barn-storming performance. Timber chucked in another 8/10. Big Gabi did what Big Gabi does, and all the emotion of a NLD feeds into his psyche and turns him into a demon. But for me - and I'm putting this into context because of his age - MLS was my Man of the Match. The fact that, with all that choice at left back, Arteta chooses to go with him tells a story. He exhibits calmness and strength alongside his undoubted ability, and looks to have a really bright future ahead of him. I particularly enjoyed what he did when he was substituted late on (having been booked by the idiot Hooper for being pushed!) as he stoked up the crowd as he left the field of play. And when, having remembered Son's 'shush' celebration when he scored, he did his own when Arsenal took the lead. He's one of our own.
Three points in the bag, and with Chelsea, City and especially Liverpool all dropping points that's, at last, some good news to report. But I'd better deal with the twin cup disasters now.
I've compared the key statistics in these two games. On the face of it, Arsenal have been very unfortunate. But it's not as simple as that. Against Newcastle, Arsenal had 70% possession, an xG of 3.09 against Newcastle's 1.22, and 23 shots to seven for the away side. Which all points to a one-sided game of football. Against Manchester United, the stats read possession again 70%/30%, xG 3.25/0.48, and 26 shots (including Odegaard's missed penalty) to United's 7. Same again; yet Arsenal find themselves 2-0 down to Newcastle with the away leg to follow next month, and out of the FA Cup on penalties. How can this be, one may ask.
Well, it's not rocket science (not one of my favourite sayings tbh): of those 49 shots, a mere 10 were on target. In both games, the opposition allowed Arsenal to have the ball - in areas that suited them - and were far more clinical (4 shots on target from 7 each) when they did get their chance. So for all the possession, and for all the 'control' Arsenal had, they were distinctly lacking where it really mattered. Imagine Isak up front for The Gunners...
Literal 'sitters' missed in both games (Havertz the worst but by no means the only culprit). And for all the chances created, there was a distinct lack of quality to the play. Passing the ball from side to side, with the opposition allowing them to do so, doesn't bring success. Penetration - either around the outside, over the top, or by means of intelligent movement amongst the massed ranks of defenders - was what was required; but we saw little of that in the 210+ minutes of football. It's too formulaic, sometimes get a little boring, and when there's little or no end result the crowd gets restless.
But... 49 shots should be more than enough to win a couple of football matches, and therein lies the frustration. It's not for the want of the players trying. It's down to a lack of critical quality. If there are two areas of the pitch where Arsenal definitely need reinforcements - and right now! - it's in the wing positions and - especially - right at the pointy end of the pitch where, for all his other qualities, Havertz will never ever be a clinical finisher and needs help. It's frankly unfair on the German to ask him - nay expect him - to pick up all the slack.
The truth is that without Bukayo Saka Arsenal look half the team than with him available. One can pretty much rely on Starboy to cause havoc and create chances. Without him, the burden has fallen almost entirely on Martin Odegaard, who Arteta has been forced to 'over play' since he came back a) from injury and b) from having a new born in his home. It's worth pointing out that notwithstanding these facts, MO created no less than 14 chances over those two matches; as many as the rest of the team put together!
It has been mighty unfortunate that whilst Arteta looks to find a formation that can work in the continued absence of Saka (and it could be another 8 weeks before we see him on the pitch again), that between them Havertz, Trossard and Martinelli have hit barren gpal scoring spells; which in turn has hit confidence. With Jesus now out until possibly the New Year with an ACL rupture, Ethan Nwaneri also out injured, and Raheem Sterling a mere shadow of the player he used to be, it's been a very testing time.
Thomas Partey has been the most creative of the 6s/8s playing behind the front line, but he's been regularly shunted out to right back in the continued absence of Ben White (back fairly soon, we are led to believe), and that has weakened the midfield severely. Rice is not quite back to the magnificence we saw from him last season - although we see plenty of flashes of it - and Merino has been essentially disappointing so far (I am prepared to give him time, as the EPL is a vastly different proposition than La Liga), and this has all led to a drop in the quality of chances created. Plus to add to that the finishing has been, to be perfectly frank, woeful.
Contrast that to the goals that the opposition are scoring against Arsenal. Worldie after worldie. Emerson's free kick, Raul Jimenez's goal out of nothing for Fulham, Neto's goal from distance at Stamford Bridge, Mbuemo's from a similar position to Jimenez, Bruno Fernandes' superb finish last week, even Son's deflected effort to give Spurs a totally undeserved lead.. All individually worth under 0.1 xG. Unlucky Arsenal? Hmmm... possibly. But if you don't put your own chances away you're asking for trouble.
Here's what I think. Jose Mourinho used to say that his teams were never more dangerous than the moment that the opposition lost the ball to them. That 'transition' is key. And that his teams could be as dangerous without the ball as with it! Contrast that to Arteta's insistence on control, and on recognisable and repeatable patterns. All of which leads to predictability, and more often than not leads to opponents being prepared to sit deep and leave no space where Arsenal need it. And then, when the ball is lost...
Contrast the way Arsenal (and Manchester City to pretty much as great an extent) play compared to league leaders Liverpool. Liverpool are happy to let their opposition have the ball, which leads to more open games of football. And also means that opponents don't defend so deeply and so rigidly. Liverpool are prepared to lose the ball; to let the opposition have it so that they can take advantage when possession is turned over.
Arteta is only in his 6th year of management, so I think that we should all be prepared to accept that he is still growing into the role. For me, the sooner he realises that attempting total control over a game doesn't necessarily work, the sooner we will get to see more goals, more open and exciting football, and as a result some trophies. He should realise that he can rely on his extremely competent defenders to deal with the opposition; opposition who, by dint of seeing more of the ball, will not be breaking at pace when Arsenal cough up possession. The need for control inhibits his players from expressing themselves fully; and I for one would like to see the leash loosened on the team.
But for all that, the key take away is that Arsenal are - for all their domination of the ball - pretty toothless when it comes to taking chances. I've/we've been saying for years that Arsenal need a centre-forward - and to be fair the first move last summer was for Sesko - but the squad is bereft of reliable goal scorers, and those who were banging them in for fun last season have singularly failed to emulate that so far in this one. You can defend Arteta and say that he couldn't have foreseen a drop off in goals from literally everybody (except Big Gabi!); but it is clear that he has failed to mitigate for that.
Look, one can look at the statistics and see that Arsenal have scored more goals this season than at this stage last season. And we can remember the cricket scores put up against poor sides at the end of last season. But - and I've said this before - the 5-0 and 6-0 wins serve to merely pad out the statistics, and it's the games where Arsenal failed to score, or scored just once, that have cost them dearly. And there have been plenty of those this season.
No goals at Bournemouth (when down to 10 men; don't get me started about sendings-off here!), Newcastle (for the second successive season) and at home to Everton. One point out of 9. A single goal both at home and away to Brighton (another sending off in the home game...) leading to two draws. Further 1-1 draws at Chelsea and Fulham. 1-0 was in fact enough away to Spurs, and at home to Ipswich. 11 points out of a possible 27, where one extra goal in each game would have doubled the points total from those fixtures. The lack of a goalscorer is painful; compare and contrast to Isak, to Haaland, to Salah, and even to Chris Wood! And now, with Jesus out as well as Saka, it would be completely negligent not to act. With Liverpool starting to look less reliable now, and City trailing many points behind, Arsenal will surely never have a better chance to win the title this season.
Arteta and Josh Kroenke must act now. And I've said this before, and I'll say it again, Gyokeres would be my man. Because we aren't getting Isak. Sesko might actually be attainable this month with his club as good as eliminated from the Champions League; but I for one am not sold on him. Vlahovic - again, not for me. This is a problem for Arteta and his colleagues, and they MUST act.
Right. It's Villa next. 70+ hours since the end of the NLD, and with a small squad from which to choose it can't be easy. Yes 'it's back on', as they say, but by all accounts Villa could have beaten Everton far more comfortably than they did in the week, and will be a tough nut to crack. There's the Emery factor, and the Emi Martinez factor to consider too (make sure you're ready to boo all evening...). Arsenal somehow just have to keep winning, and see where it gets them. I genuinely believe that for all the negativity we're seen and read about this week on social media etc., that Arsenal can do it. The team don't need these negative vibes. If we're supporters, we must support.
So COYG!